Source Entry: H\Macintosh HD\root\Users\jee\Library\Messages\Archive\2019-07-05\larry 
Summers on 2019-06-13 at 13.16.44.ichat 
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Start Time: 06/14/19 01:45:35 PM (582237935) 
End Time: 07/05/19 01:27:01 PM (584051221) 
Last Message ID: 31810 
Chat Room: 
Participants: jee, Larry Summers 
Presentity IDs: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com, 
Messages - 
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Time: 06/14/19 01:45:35 PM (582237935) 
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Message: in paris, weather great 
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Time: 06/15/19 06:35:48 AM (582298548) 
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Message: I 11 call bit later. Would u continue to dictating op Ed's for peril? Think 
she was off w some guy falling in love w Buddhist art? Not sure who or what. 
Sender: 
Time: 06/15/19 06:48:40 AM (582299320) 
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GUID: CA84COAF-AE81-454A-9DB6-4CE8C5A72F07 
Message: Drake equation probability estimation is garbage in garbage out but this not 
same thing as saying concept of a probability is wrong. Do I think meaningful to talk 
about prob of trump being re-elected or my getting horizontal w peril which are one 
shots. 
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Time: 06/15/19 06:54:47 AM (582299687) 
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Message: Cannot use the concept of probability with only one example and not a repeated 
space . Gromov said its a question his children might ask and hopefully only once ! 
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Time: 06/15/19 06:56:21 AM (582299781) 
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Message: Ill have red ink on my summer s dollar thank you. -It should be a ten as you 
did add - with gusto-jeffrey , that is REALLY stupid 
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Time: 06/15/19 06:57:46 AM (582299866) 
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Message: Don't know Gromov. This is clearly wrong. Soviet doctrinaire sounds like. Do u 
think Question of prob that stock market will rise till end of 2019 is meaningless? 
You have one strong willed authority with achievements in some other sphere. So what. 
Sender: 
Time: 06/15/19 06:58:41 AM (582299921) 
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Message: U r better at understanding Chinese women than at probability theory. At 
understanding movement of money too. 
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Time: 06/15/19 07:07:53 AM (582300473) 
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GUID: B93C1B4A-E109-491F-8679-CCB455F0C5OD 
Message: The stock market models as a contiuous function. With a history and many 
past events . More like what is the probability you being reincarnated . 
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Time: 06/15/19 07:09:47 AM (582300587) 
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Message: Im more concerned that it may be like the probability of you in bed again 
with peril. . 0 
Sender: 
Time: 06/15/19 07:21:46 AM (582301306) 
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GUID: 483E68C9-192F-4ACE-9A21-9571C845544B 
Message: Uh oh. Lhopital s rule 
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Time: 06/15/19 07:33:00 AM (582301980) 
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GUID: AllE58FA-FC89-4549-AC92-6F9104243756 
Message: Not exactly getting within the limit is NOT the same as IN 
Sender: 
Time: 06/15/19 07:34:41 AM (582302081) 
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Message: Just called 
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Time: 06/15/19 07:47:07 AM (582302827) 
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Message: Try now 
Sender:___________________ 
Time: 06/15/19 08:26:49 AM (582305209) 
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Message: Just tried back 
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Time: 06/15/19 08:34:09 AM (582305649) 
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Message: U called but I couldn't hear anything 
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Time: 06/15/19 12:44:21 PM (582320661) 
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GUID: 8123FEC4-499A-4091-A81A-DA5CB3C7E6DE 
Message: https://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2019/06/15/us/15reuters-new-jersey-
airport.html?action=click&module=Latest&pgtype=Homepage 
Sender: 
Time: 06/15/19 03:37:15 PM (582331035) 
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Message: Got it 
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Time: 06/15/19 04:54:09 PM (582335649) 
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GUID: D5847834-B107-44B6-A639-5C38FEE110AB 
Message: Subjective probability is a type of probability derived from an individual's 
personal judgment or own experience about whether a specific outcome is likely to 
occur. It contains no formal calculations and only reflects the subject's opinions and 
past experience rather than on data or computation. Subjective probabilities differ 
from person to person and contain a high degree of personal bias. 
Sender: 
Time: 06/15/19 05:11:12 PM (582336672) 
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Message: This is silly. 
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Time: 06/15/19 05:13:45 PM (582336825) 
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Message: Exactly 
Sender: 
Time: 06/16/19 07:45:26 AM (582389126) 
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Message: Later. In meantime, strategy w peril? 
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Time: 06/16/19 07:46:46 AM (582389206) 
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Message: Continue to dictate -little downside 
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Time: 06/16/19 07:48:19 AM (582389299) 
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Message: Re later - you can read up on questions -re life on other planets described as 
" subjective probability " ie . Total nonsense 
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Time: 06/16/19 07:48:35 AM (582389315) 
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Message: Red ink 
Sender: 
Time: 06/16/19 07:51:37 AM (582389497) 
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Message: Sounds like u r pessimistic re peril but agree. I think my injury is kind of 
exogenous event u said would change game. On other hand life has lots of bounces. 
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Time: 06/16/19 07:52:10 AM (582389530) 
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Message: Not at all. Long game 
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Time: 06/16/19 07:53:30 AM (582389610) 
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Message: Im rarely pessimistic, i wonder what the probability is? Or in this case as it 
is a binary decision appropriate to use " odds" 
Sender: 
Time: 06/16/19 07:57:23 AM (582389843) 
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Message: On subjective probability, I think life on other planets complex example. Is 
stock market one continuous event with much Or is this moment unique. If u grant 
meaningfulness if talking odds on one off events we are down to semantics. Where u say 
odds I say subjective probability. If u are rarely pessimistic does that discredit your 
optimism. Suppose instead of peril it was dunking a basketball or going to an island w 
Angela Jolie 
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Time: 06/16/19 08:04:21 AM (582390261) 
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Message: ? 
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com 
Time: 06/16/19 08:06:22 AM (582390382) 
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Message: Odds are limited to binary outcomes. . since you are immobile. Do some 
homework. . I concede your point on pessimism but would under bayesian rules. Feel 
comfortable. As humans are biased toward bad outcome avoidance. . She is never ever 
going to find another Larry summers. Probability ZERO 
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Time: 06/16/19 08:16:09 AM (582390969) 
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Message: That can't be right. There are odds on dem nominee w many outcomes possible. 
For objective or subjective probability u need well defined events. 
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Time: 06/16/19 12:55:05 PM (582407705) 
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Message: When are you able to walk again without crutches. Its wholly impolite 
for me to mentally attack a cripple 
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Time: 06/16/19 12:57:14 PM (582407834) 
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Message: Handicapped , not cripple 
Sender: 
Time: 06/16/19 01:15:31 PM (582408931) 
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Message: 6 or 7 weeks. 
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Time: 06/16/19 01:16:45 PM (582409005) 
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Message: On tues. I 11 have the math professor explain to you some things. And then 
wait until you are unable to claim your arguments were driven by the high level of pain 
killers. . on peril. Forced holding pattern in your interest 
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Time: 06/16/19 01:21:58 PM (582409318) 
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Message: Why in my interest. Odds of success. I think another encounter at some point 
one third. Sustained series one fifth. Best shot for me. She gives up on marriage. 
Finds me invaluable and interesting and get her to conclude she can't have it without 
romance/sex without deciding I'm weak or vengeful 
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Time: 06/16/19 01:26:05 PM (582409565) 
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Message: Over time. She is doomed to be with you 
Sender: 
Time: 06/16/19 01:27:02 PM (582409622) 
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Message: Unless she marries someone else. She is more monogamous than most 
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Message: Painkillers? 
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Time: 06/16/19 01:47:00 PM (582410820) 
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Message: Not for me?? 
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Time: 06/16/19 01:47:53 PM (582410873) 
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Message: Your views formed by your meds? 
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Time: 06/16/19 09:01:18 PM (582436878) 
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Message: Not formed by meds. Other than being a Bayesian rather than a pure math freak 
which wrong view do I have 
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Time: 06/17/19 02:21:14 AM (582456074) 
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Message: She continues to be in contact 
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Time: 06/17/19 02:22:23 AM (582456143) 
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GUID: 50B6A567-D38D-474B-8B64-6BFF49FC250F 
Message: Things are good - davos is set for you / she is there because program person 
is chinese 
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Time: 06/17/19 02:22:35 AM (582456155) 
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Message: Funny 
Sender: 
Time: 06/17/19 05:33:18 AM (582467598) 
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Message: Thx re davos. Happy to help re g20 
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Time: 06/23/19 11:09:56 PM (583049396) 
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Message: How are you 
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Time: 06/24/19 02:05:02 AM (583059902) 
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Message: If Bernie were to cancel all student debt. . how Is that reflected on govt 
books/ ? 
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Time: 06/24/19 02:05:13 AM (583059913) 
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Message: Do the borrowers get income? 
Sender: 
Time: 06/24/19 02:20:43 AM (583060843) 
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Message: I doubt borrowers get income but not certain. If they did many who struggle w 
debt service would get a whopping tax bill. I suspect a balance sheet impact but not a 
deficit impact. Depends on whether it's framed as a give away or recognition of 
reality. 
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Time: 06/24/19 03:34:39 AM (583065279) 
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Message: How's the rehab. ? 
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Time: 06/24/19 03:36:24 AM (583065384) 
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Message: My mathemactics guys. All said the propensity of the common man to put numbers 
on things where they don't belong is the answer to the odds probability questions et. 
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Time: 06/24/19 03:40:53 AM (583065653) 
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Message: Send peril flowers 
Sender: 
Time: 06/24/19 04:13:47 AM (583067627) 
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Message: Your math guys are not that worldly. I 11 call u later 
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Time: 06/24/19 09:56:28 AM (583088188) 
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Message: Ok 
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com 
Time: 06/30/19 04:25:52 AM (583586752) 
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Message: ?? U ok? 
Sender: 
Time: 06/30/19 04:27:03 AM (583586823) 
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Message: Yes. Sorry I will update you on developments. Will Ehud Be PM 
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Time: 06/30/19 04:28:53 AM (583586933) 
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Message: 331 441 70210. Doubtful. But 1. He is not to be underestimated. 2. 
Unlikely top job. But depends on coalition. 3. Driving me crazy 
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Time: 06/30/19 09:27:53 AM (583604873) 
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Message: ? 
Sender: 
Time: 06/30/19 11:35:11 AM (583612511) 
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Message: Tried back 
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Time: 06/30/19 11:39:15 AM (583612755) 
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Message: I just tried back 
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Time: 06/30/19 11:53:56 AM (583613636) 
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Message: Try again 
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Time: 07/05/19 10:39:45 AM (584041185) 
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Message: All good? 
Sender: 
Time: 07/05/19 10:46:39 AM (584041599) 
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Message: At cape w mother brothers kids and nephews nieces. Bit of an Ibsen play. 
Sender: 
Time: 07/05/19 10:46:57 AM (584041617) 
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Message: With perspective all good. 
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Message: Better than checov 
Sender: 
Time: 07/05/19 10:47:40 AM (584041660) 
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Message: Then I may misunderstand checov. 
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Time: 07/05/19 10:47:46 AM (584041666) 
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Message: Or Ibsen 
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Time: 07/05/19 10:50:07 AM (584041807) 
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GUID: 2B15A5DE-CE18-4CD2-B85D-4F4B682E5F8A 
Message: E. J. Dillon thought "the effect on the reader of Chekhov's tales was 
repulsion at the gallery of human waste represented by his fickle, spineless, drifting 
people" 
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Time: 07/05/19 10:54:34 AM (584042074) 
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GUID: CA40E43B-C34D-412F-828D-D91149E01E1F 
Message: "The Lady with the Dog"[91] (also translated from the Russian as "Lady with 
Lapdog"), [921 which depicts what at first seems a casual liaison between a cynical 
married man and a woman who meet while holidaying in Yalta. Neither expects anything 
lasting from the encounter. Unexpectedly though, they gradually fall deeply in love and 
end up risking scandal and the security of their family lives. The story masterfully 
captures their feelings for each other, the inner transformation undergone by the 
disillusioned male protagonist as a result of falling deeply in love, and their 
inability to resolve the matter by either letting go of their families or of each 
other. [931 
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Time: 07/05/19 12:13:27 PM (584046807) 
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Message: Jesus!!!! 
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Message: I think you meant. Budhha 
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Time: 07/05/19 01:27:01 PM (584051221) 
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Message: Ha 
