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- Source Entry: H\Macintosh HD\root\Users\jee\Library\Messages\Archive\2019-07-05\larry
- Summers on 2019-06-13 at 13.16.44.ichat
- Service: iMessage
- Start Time: 06/14/19 01:45:35 PM (582237935)
- End Time: 07/05/19 01:27:01 PM (584051221)
- Last Message ID: 31810
- Chat Room:
- Participants: jee, Larry Summers
- Presentity IDs: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com,
- Messages -
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/14/19 01:45:35 PM (582237935)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: F6A49ADE-D7A7-45B6-A2C0-21EFA549A8BB
- Message: in paris, weather great
- Sender:
- Time: 06/15/19 06:35:48 AM (582298548)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 38066713-F526-4190-8AC8-764528A08BOA
- Message: I 11 call bit later. Would u continue to dictating op Ed's for peril? Think
- she was off w some guy falling in love w Buddhist art? Not sure who or what.
- Sender:
- Time: 06/15/19 06:48:40 AM (582299320)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: CA84COAF-AE81-454A-9DB6-4CE8C5A72F07
- Message: Drake equation probability estimation is garbage in garbage out but this not
- same thing as saying concept of a probability is wrong. Do I think meaningful to talk
- about prob of trump being re-elected or my getting horizontal w peril which are one
- shots.
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/15/19 06:54:47 AM (582299687)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: CC1FD992-B400-4122-901D-C9381A8DFB43
- Message: Cannot use the concept of probability with only one example and not a repeated
- space . Gromov said its a question his children might ask and hopefully only once !
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/15/19 06:56:21 AM (582299781)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 7E3BDC8C-5EB0-471E-A8CD-4C8B42E29146
- Message: Ill have red ink on my summer s dollar thank you. -It should be a ten as you
- did add - with gusto-jeffrey , that is REALLY stupid
- Sender:
- Time: 06/15/19 06:57:46 AM (582299866)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 5F140C9E-862B-49B2-BD06-60639A071A5C
- Message: Don't know Gromov. This is clearly wrong. Soviet doctrinaire sounds like. Do u
- think Question of prob that stock market will rise till end of 2019 is meaningless?
- You have one strong willed authority with achievements in some other sphere. So what.
- Sender:
- Time: 06/15/19 06:58:41 AM (582299921)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 98D6ED00-1E04-4E53-A9DC-8169CE4D9872
- Message: U r better at understanding Chinese women than at probability theory. At
- understanding movement of money too.
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/15/19 07:07:53 AM (582300473)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: B93C1B4A-E109-491F-8679-CCB455F0C5OD
- Message: The stock market models as a contiuous function. With a history and many
- past events . More like what is the probability you being reincarnated .
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/15/19 07:09:47 AM (582300587)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: FDEEA9DA-EEF5-4BA4-96DF-14D6F4E7285E
- Message: Im more concerned that it may be like the probability of you in bed again
- with peril. . 0
- Sender:
- Time: 06/15/19 07:21:46 AM (582301306)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 483E68C9-192F-4ACE-9A21-9571C845544B
- Message: Uh oh. Lhopital s rule
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/15/19 07:33:00 AM (582301980)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: AllE58FA-FC89-4549-AC92-6F9104243756
- Message: Not exactly getting within the limit is NOT the same as IN
- Sender:
- Time: 06/15/19 07:34:41 AM (582302081)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: BF86BF72-356F-4488-86FA-10A007F4D403
- Message: Just called
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/15/19 07:47:07 AM (582302827)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 72118E11-CDA2-41B5-88CB-4B89300C7C60
- Message: Try now
- Sender:___________________
- Time: 06/15/19 08:26:49 AM (582305209)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: B93ED8FC-2C3C-42A4-9460-2E7A6B5AD836
- Message: Just tried back
- Sender:
- Time: 06/15/19 08:34:09 AM (582305649)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: CA6AD780-021E-479B-AB99-585E0F40ABD7
- Message: U called but I couldn't hear anything
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/15/19 12:44:21 PM (582320661)
- Flags: 1150981
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 8123FEC4-499A-4091-A81A-DA5CB3C7E6DE
- Message: https://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2019/06/15/us/15reuters-new-jersey-
- airport.html?action=click&module=Latest&pgtype=Homepage
- Sender:
- Time: 06/15/19 03:37:15 PM (582331035)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 7AF77F43-6258-4EBC-8EB6-09ACB3C11340
- Message: Got it
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/15/19 04:54:09 PM (582335649)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: D5847834-B107-44B6-A639-5C38FEE110AB
- Message: Subjective probability is a type of probability derived from an individual's
- personal judgment or own experience about whether a specific outcome is likely to
- occur. It contains no formal calculations and only reflects the subject's opinions and
- past experience rather than on data or computation. Subjective probabilities differ
- from person to person and contain a high degree of personal bias.
- Sender:
- Time: 06/15/19 05:11:12 PM (582336672)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: E93782E1-FOOE-470E-8EA8-5944E5C8AEEB
- Message: This is silly.
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/15/19 05:13:45 PM (582336825)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 28EDD23F-F776-4DFC-8BF5-C10EF2FFB997
- Message: Exactly
- Sender:
- Time: 06/16/19 07:45:26 AM (582389126)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: E6D323ED-E87A-4055-886B-C3DC71044C6C
- Message: Later. In meantime, strategy w peril?
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/16/19 07:46:46 AM (582389206)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 0020441A-FB79-47DB-B899-705Al2C6C659
- Message: Continue to dictate -little downside
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/16/19 07:48:19 AM (582389299)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 9EE6EAC0-3143-409D-9585-F917C3B94803
- Message: Re later - you can read up on questions -re life on other planets described as
- " subjective probability " ie . Total nonsense
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/16/19 07:48:35 AM (582389315)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 1F69910C-BE39-45BB-AB77-6F1B32EA5516
- Message: Red ink
- Sender:
- Time: 06/16/19 07:51:37 AM (582389497)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: E3EC6FAD-5540-4788-AF64-44F27E630B1F
- Message: Sounds like u r pessimistic re peril but agree. I think my injury is kind of
- exogenous event u said would change game. On other hand life has lots of bounces.
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/16/19 07:52:10 AM (582389530)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 2774B3F8-481B-462A-BB3F-59EBA0F7C23F
- Message: Not at all. Long game
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/16/19 07:53:30 AM (582389610)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 1C767735-679A-4A23-B2D5-25696C9CB759
- Message: Im rarely pessimistic, i wonder what the probability is? Or in this case as it
- is a binary decision appropriate to use " odds"
- Sender:
- Time: 06/16/19 07:57:23 AM (582389843)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 318A9F80-A641-481D-8ACF-F85D91C7E327
- Message: On subjective probability, I think life on other planets complex example. Is
- stock market one continuous event with much Or is this moment unique. If u grant
- meaningfulness if talking odds on one off events we are down to semantics. Where u say
- odds I say subjective probability. If u are rarely pessimistic does that discredit your
- optimism. Suppose instead of peril it was dunking a basketball or going to an island w
- Angela Jolie
- Sender: __________________
- Time: 06/16/19 08:04:21 AM (582390261)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 72603E56-0703-400E-B4CC-2E3FE85F627D
- Message: ?
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/16/19 08:06:22 AM (582390382)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 669FD759-B135-4C2C-AA9B-33783DE756CB
- Message: Odds are limited to binary outcomes. . since you are immobile. Do some
- homework. . I concede your point on pessimism but would under bayesian rules. Feel
- comfortable. As humans are biased toward bad outcome avoidance. . She is never ever
- going to find another Larry summers. Probability ZERO
- Sender:
- Time: 06/16/19 08:16:09 AM (582390969)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: CCD605A6-90D4-484F-A2D8-0269C171FFC3
- Message: That can't be right. There are odds on dem nominee w many outcomes possible.
- For objective or subjective probability u need well defined events.
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/16/19 12:55:05 PM (582407705)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: FD3E312C-E378-4798-8885-BE441B3BE005
- Message: When are you able to walk again without crutches. Its wholly impolite
- for me to mentally attack a cripple
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/16/19 12:57:14 PM (582407834)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 615FEF51-9D4D-4629-B310-A900B300FE7D
- Message: Handicapped , not cripple
- Sender:
- Time: 06/16/19 01:15:31 PM (582408931)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 55C08F2F-4921-429B-8E52-CFA0C94185E8
- Message: 6 or 7 weeks.
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/16/19 01:16:45 PM (582409005)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 9E3C66A8-55B9-4760-B4AF-7970FC0C5BE4
- Message: On tues. I 11 have the math professor explain to you some things. And then
- wait until you are unable to claim your arguments were driven by the high level of pain
- killers. . on peril. Forced holding pattern in your interest
- Sender:
- Time: 06/16/19 01:21:58 PM (582409318)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: B1F044A8-CA51-4D8C-B6D8-04615DC230FE
- Message: Why in my interest. Odds of success. I think another encounter at some point
- one third. Sustained series one fifth. Best shot for me. She gives up on marriage.
- Finds me invaluable and interesting and get her to conclude she can't have it without
- romance/sex without deciding I'm weak or vengeful
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/16/19 01:26:05 PM (582409565)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 0E98C824-A354-4D17-B0E8-984267E20828
- Message: Over time. She is doomed to be with you
- Sender:
- Time: 06/16/19 01:27:02 PM (582409622)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: OFE04027-6AAD-48B6-BD4A-6A22E6F76D10
- Message: Unless she marries someone else. She is more monogamous than most
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/16/19 01:28:22 PM (582409702)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 8ECC4603-F01F-48BC-9FEB-5A2ACAF4E71E
- Message: Painkillers?
- Sender:
- Time: 06/16/19 01:47:00 PM (582410820)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: B3872E56-E3F0-4814-A9FA-46920060C108
- Message: Not for me??
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/16/19 01:47:53 PM (582410873)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 8F38D70D-9002-4745-B48C-DO4C9OACF3E8
- Message: Your views formed by your meds?
- Sender:
- Time: 06/16/19 09:01:18 PM (582436878)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 4ECF37F0-A4AE-4885-A68B-98CFE7DDBEDO
- Message: Not formed by meds. Other than being a Bayesian rather than a pure math freak
- which wrong view do I have
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/17/19 02:21:14 AM (582456074)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 2950BBD5-5155-4457-9BFA-AEAO6DF00685
- Message: She continues to be in contact
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/17/19 02:22:23 AM (582456143)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 50B6A567-D38D-474B-8B64-6BFF49FC250F
- Message: Things are good - davos is set for you / she is there because program person
- is chinese
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/17/19 02:22:35 AM (582456155)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 33B3A9A3-FC94-453C-AF86-1295DB1E1C48
- Message: Funny
- Sender:
- Time: 06/17/19 05:33:18 AM (582467598)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 0A6B17B8-3321-45D7-A89F-F017B93D1EAD
- Message: Thx re davos. Happy to help re g20
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/23/19 11:09:56 PM (583049396)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: C50180EF-188F-4DAB-ADE5-D39F692B6F86
- Message: How are you
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/24/19 02:05:02 AM (583059902)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: E6C43F7E-89F8-4F76-9C4D-CA266DE55C32
- Message: If Bernie were to cancel all student debt. . how Is that reflected on govt
- books/ ?
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/24/19 02:05:13 AM (583059913)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: DE927EA4-90AF-4208-884F-0A4A4618B044
- Message: Do the borrowers get income?
- Sender:
- Time: 06/24/19 02:20:43 AM (583060843)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: AD8C74A6-F051-46EE-918D-68EC6C523DC2
- Message: I doubt borrowers get income but not certain. If they did many who struggle w
- debt service would get a whopping tax bill. I suspect a balance sheet impact but not a
- deficit impact. Depends on whether it's framed as a give away or recognition of
- reality.
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/24/19 03:34:39 AM (583065279)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 48EA89F5-E85B-4C78-B4DF-E0B69FACF044
- Message: How's the rehab. ?
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/24/19 03:36:24 AM (583065384)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 3B57FEAA-6429-442D-A7F8-005796E4AD53
- Message: My mathemactics guys. All said the propensity of the common man to put numbers
- on things where they don't belong is the answer to the odds probability questions et.
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/24/19 03:40:53 AM (583065653)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 31778953-399A-4E04-9369-3450804DDD47
- Message: Send peril flowers
- Sender:
- Time: 06/24/19 04:13:47 AM (583067627)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 38694F4C-1706-42EB-BEE4-C30647C04878
- Message: Your math guys are not that worldly. I 11 call u later
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/24/19 09:56:28 AM (583088188)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 80BA418D-D8FA-4C95-AF99-A455AFD5C2D8
- Message: Ok
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/30/19 04:25:52 AM (583586752)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 0152C521-06F9-4B70-87E4-0A5F2B6CE778
- Message: ?? U ok?
- Sender:
- Time: 06/30/19 04:27:03 AM (583586823)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 34975246-52F0-4BED-9DA1-4D227ED75480
- Message: Yes. Sorry I will update you on developments. Will Ehud Be PM
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/30/19 04:28:53 AM (583586933)
- Flags: 1150981
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 36171A28-D8BA-45D8-B40E-300F6682DBD5
- Message: 331 441 70210. Doubtful. But 1. He is not to be underestimated. 2.
- Unlikely top job. But depends on coalition. 3. Driving me crazy
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/30/19 09:27:53 AM (583604873)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 8858FAEF-7407-42E8-9B54-16B1C044A762
- Message: ?
- Sender:
- Time: 06/30/19 11:35:11 AM (583612511)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 2B11E6E5-AE97-4B63-B229-9C2321147250
- Message: Tried back
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/30/19 11:39:15 AM (583612755)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 55ABB821-38D7-41ED-807F-3EDAC529F483
- Message: I just tried back
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 06/30/19 11:53:56 AM (583613636)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 968D4EA4-D7EA-4FA0-9569-960737DDFD91
- Message: Try again
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 07/05/19 10:39:45 AM (584041185)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 7D9E5CF8-5797-4B7D-AF38-9675678DAAAC
- Message: All good?
- Sender:
- Time: 07/05/19 10:46:39 AM (584041599)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 8A8FC2E2-375B-4C4E-AEA0-99A3D8E62484
- Message: At cape w mother brothers kids and nephews nieces. Bit of an Ibsen play.
- Sender:
- Time: 07/05/19 10:46:57 AM (584041617)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: C174D188-3910-4962-9DC5-FDAD5BA4EE22
- Message: With perspective all good.
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 07/05/19 10:47:02 AM (584041622)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: B62E8C28-26EB-4B3A-8D33-F9EF4089E61B
- Message: Better than checov
- Sender:
- Time: 07/05/19 10:47:40 AM (584041660)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 09552BA8-0291-4AE6-8605-47934CB6650E
- Message: Then I may misunderstand checov.
- Sender:
- Time: 07/05/19 10:47:46 AM (584041666)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 812B5A5E-49DA-49AA-81B7-5A24A93E49A5
- Message: Or Ibsen
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 07/05/19 10:50:07 AM (584041807)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 2B15A5DE-CE18-4CD2-B85D-4F4B682E5F8A
- Message: E. J. Dillon thought "the effect on the reader of Chekhov's tales was
- repulsion at the gallery of human waste represented by his fickle, spineless, drifting
- people"
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 07/05/19 10:54:34 AM (584042074)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: CA40E43B-C34D-412F-828D-D91149E01E1F
- Message: "The Lady with the Dog"[91] (also translated from the Russian as "Lady with
- Lapdog"), [921 which depicts what at first seems a casual liaison between a cynical
- married man and a woman who meet while holidaying in Yalta. Neither expects anything
- lasting from the encounter. Unexpectedly though, they gradually fall deeply in love and
- end up risking scandal and the security of their family lives. The story masterfully
- captures their feelings for each other, the inner transformation undergone by the
- disillusioned male protagonist as a result of falling deeply in love, and their
- inability to resolve the matter by either letting go of their families or of each
- other. [931
- Sender:
- Time: 07/05/19 12:13:27 PM (584046807)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 57F5DB7E-F55D-4287-B550-D7DB85D4662E
- Message: Jesus!!!!
- Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
- Time: 07/05/19 12:14:24 PM (584046864)
- Flags: 1085445
- Is Read: No
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: FFC163A3-94A4-4FA7-A210-9B0586E17CFC
- Message: I think you meant. Budhha
- Sender:
- Time: 07/05/19 01:27:01 PM (584051221)
- Flags: 1060865
- Is Read: Yes
- Is Invitation: No
- GUID: 98C92041-A5A0-4490-9351-D4AA8AC96500
- Message: Ha
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